Naturally, the orcs’ ultimate fate matters less than that of Frodo and his companions, and the movies don’t waste any further time retailing what happened afterward. However, author J. R. R. Tolkien kept fastidious notes about every corner of his groundbreaking fantasy world, and they deliver some clues as to the orcs’ collective fate at the dawning of Middle-earth’s Fourth Age.
From there, firm answers grow hazy, and Tolkien doesn’t mention them in the Fourth Age. Presumably, those who escaped formed rough tribes or raiding parties and survived for a time by hiding in caves, forests and the abandoned places of the world. The goblins of the Misty Mountains presumably survived as well, and their tunnels could support a great number of orcs for some time.
Yet Tolkien leaves the door open for their survival, notably with reference to orcs breeding with human beings. The Uruk-hai, or “black orcs,” appear to be hybrids between orcs and humans, and both Tolkien and Jackson mention the two species cross-breeding. If that’s the case, then orcs might have survived in some form or another and endured well into the Fourth Age.
In his novel The Hobbit, Tolkien suggests that hobbits never left the world. They just decided to avoid “ the big folk” and now are seldom seen. A similar explanation might exist for the orcs: fading into the lost and lonely parts of the world until they became something akin to fairy tale monsters. They ceased to be a power in Middle-earth after Sauron, but their copious strength and ability to survive makes full-bore extinction unlikely in Tolkien’s world.